ISRAEL has drawn up secret plans to
destroy Iran’s uranium enrichment facilities with
tactical nuclear weapons.
Two Israeli air force squadrons are
training to blow up an Iranian facility using low-yield
nuclear “bunker-busters”, according to several Israeli
military sources.
The
attack would be the first with nuclear weapons since
1945, when the United States dropped atomic bombs on
Hiroshima and Nagasaki. The Israeli weapons would each
have a force equivalent to one-fifteenth of the
Hiroshima bomb.
Under the plans, conventional
laser-guided bombs would open “tunnels” into the
targets. “Mini-nukes” would then immediately be fired
into a plant at Natanz, exploding deep underground to
reduce the risk of radioactive fallout.
“As soon as the green light is given, it
will be one mission, one strike and the Iranian nuclear
project will be demolished,” said one of the sources.
The plans, disclosed to The Sunday Times
last week, have been prompted in part by the Israeli
intelligence service Mossad’s assessment that Iran is on
the verge of producing enough enriched uranium to make
nuclear weapons within two years.
Israeli military commanders believe
conventional strikes may no longer be enough to
annihilate increasingly well-defended enrichment
facilities. Several have been built beneath at least
70ft of concrete and rock. However, the nuclear-tipped
bunker-busters would be used only if a conventional
attack was ruled out and if the United States declined
to intervene, senior sources said.
Israeli and American officials have met
several times to consider military action. Military
analysts said the disclosure of the plans could be
intended to put pressure on Tehran to halt enrichment,
cajole America into action or soften up world opinion in
advance of an Israeli attack.
Some analysts warned that Iranian
retaliation for such a strike could range from
disruption of oil supplies to the West to terrorist
attacks against Jewish targets around the world.
Israel has identified three prime targets
south of Tehran which are believed to be involved in
Iran’s nuclear programme:
· Natanz, where thousands of centrifuges
are being installed for uranium enrichment
· A uranium conversion facility near
Isfahan where, according to a statement by an Iranian
vice-president last week, 250 tons of gas for the
enrichment process have been stored in tunnels
· A heavy water reactor at Arak, which
may in future produce enough plutonium for a bomb
Israeli officials believe that destroying
all three sites would delay Iran’s nuclear programme
indefinitely and prevent them from having to live in
fear of a “second Holocaust”.
The Israeli government has warned
repeatedly that it will never allow nuclear weapons to
be made in Iran, whose president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad,
has declared that “Israel must be wiped off the map”.
Robert Gates, the new US defence
secretary, has described military action against Iran as
a “last resort”, leading Israeli officials to conclude
that it will be left to them to strike.
Israeli pilots have flown to Gibraltar in
recent weeks to train for the 2,000-mile round trip to
the Iranian targets. Three possible routes have been
mapped out, including one over Turkey.
Air force squadrons based at Hatzerim in
the Negev desert and Tel Nof, south of Tel Aviv, have
trained to use Israel’s tactical nuclear weapons on the
mission. The preparations have been overseen by Major
General Eliezer Shkedi, commander of the Israeli air
force.
Sources close to the Pentagon said the
United States was highly unlikely to give approval for
tactical nuclear weapons to be used. One source said
Israel would have to seek approval “after the event”, as
it did when it crippled Iraq’s nuclear reactor at Osirak
with airstrikes in 1981.
Scientists have calculated that although
contamination from the bunker-busters could be limited,
tons of radioactive uranium compounds would be released.
The Israelis believe that Iran’s
retaliation would be constrained by fear of a second
strike if it were to launch its Shehab-3 ballistic
missiles at Israel.
However, American experts warned of
repercussions, including widespread protests that could
destabilise parts of the Islamic world friendly to the
West.
Colonel Sam Gardiner, a Pentagon adviser,
said Iran could try to close the Strait of Hormuz, the
route for 20% of the world’s oil.
Some sources in Washington said they
doubted if Israel would have the nerve to attack Iran.
However, Dr Ephraim Sneh, the deputy Israeli defence
minister, said last month: “The time is approaching when
Israel and the international community will have to
decide whether to take military action against Iran.”